When betting on the NFL, those who are thorough and wise have the upper hand. It is no secret that consistently beating the oddsmakers in the NFL is far from easy. Why do you think that is? The sportsbooks are smart, and they know that they will get far more action on the NFL than any other sport. Obviously the lines are going to be tight on a weekly basis. Let’s take a quick look at one way to stay ahead of the oddsmakers in the NFL this year.
Don’t Overreact to One Week of Results
The biggest mistake an NFL bettor can make is to overreact to one week of results. Last year the Pittsburgh Steelers were absolutely dominated by Baltimore in week one by a score of 35-7. A bettor who read too much into one game might have thought Pittsburgh was going to be in for a down year. In the end, the Steelers went 12-5 and had another very successful year. After a nice win over the Cowboys in week one and a 32-3 blowout of Jacksonville in week two, many were high on the Jets last season. In the end, the Jets were nothing better than a mediocre team. Tampa Bay Bucs were 4-2 after 6 games and they proceeded to lose ten straight games and finish 4-12. There are examples all over the NFL from last season showing this point very clearly.
The lesson that needs to be learned here is that one week should not fundamentally change your perception of a certain team by a large amount. It may be tempting to change your power rankings in a big way because of one week’s results, but you’ll have a more profitable season if you take some more time to evaluate each team. One week doesn’t make a trend, and it shouldn’t influence your betting habits too much either. Stay focused on the long-term!
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